Gas, Green(back), and the Great American Way

I’ve been quiet for too long.  A year and a half of opinions, rants, and whining (just kidding, Jimmy) and not one of mine.  Well, it’s time to throw in my two cents worth – make up for lost time.  So here goes . .

 Petrol, Gasoline, Go-Juice, Fuel.  We all need it.  We all use it.  Gas prices go up at every world (or third world) event.  Most of the time they come back down some, but rarely to the level they were before some corrupt Venezuelan president or (insert dictator name) is ousted.  And don’t get me started on the wild oil price speculation that goes on every time we invade another country.  You’d think our president was involved in the oil business!  Oh, wait – he is isn’t he?  And let us not forget the unconscionable price gouging that took place immediately following the tragic events of September 11, 2001.  There are several local and national gas companies that will NEVER have my business again. 

 And did you ever notice how gas prices go up INSTANTLY when something happens?  I just can’t figure that one out.  Gas futures are bought 30 to 90 days in advance.  What they got in the tank at the corner BP was paid for three months ago.  How the hell do they justify charging me more when rates go up for product that won’t deliver for another three months?  But I digress.  On with the show!

 The gas companies have us by the tank, and they’re not letting go any time soon.  Gas prices are up over 20 cents per gallon during the first three months of 2004.  Prices were already significantly higher at the close of 2003 than the previous year.  As a matter of fact, fuel prices have been steadily climbing for the past four years at a pace that FAR exceeds inflation or the Consumer Price Index (CPI).  Why?  Well, I’m glad you asked.

 The oil and refinery companies have a plausible story to explain these dramatic increases . . . plausible that is if you don’t look too far past the load of unrefined crap they’re crudely (pun intended) trying to feed us.  They are claiming that demand is exceeding supply, and that new environmental regulations have driven up the cost of the refining process.  And you know what?  They’re right . . . kinda . . . sort of . . . maybe . . . NOT!! 

 Well, you might ask how I think we’re being screwed by the oil and fuel industry?  Doesn’t the law of supply and demand state that reduced supply and/or increased demand = higher prices?  Wouldn’t it cost more to change the way fuel is being refined?  The answer to both questions, in principle, is yes.  However, there is more to this story than meets the eye, and it’s the rest of the story that the gas companies are trying to downplay and hope we ignore.

 Let’s start with the supply and demand portion of the equation.  What the gas companies have done is slowly create an artificial supply shortage.  Hmmm . . . Can you say price fixing, boys and girls?  Good, I thought you could. 

 Let’s say I’m an oil executive who understands the basics of supply and demand.  Imagine also that I want to set a long-range plan for my company (and industry) to ensure continued increases in profitability.  What is the best way to do that?  Get people to pay ever-increasing amounts for my product while I control production costs and reduce output.  How can I do this and avoid the outward appearance of price fixing?  Reduce capacity.  Artificially create a shortage.  This of course artificially inflates the selling price of their product. 

 Let’s look at some facts:

1.  Consumer demand for fuel products has increased 39% since 1980 (Blame it on your SUV!)

2.  Since 1980 the number of domestic fuel refineries has shrunk from 320 to 150

3.  Since 1980 total refining capacity has been decreased by 12%

4.  Gas prices have increased approximately 56% since 1993

The facts speak for themselves.  What industry not looking to artificially set prices would ignore a 39% increase in consumer demand and reduce production capacity?  And heaven forbid one of the refineries breaks down.  When that part only available via carrier pigeon from a remote Chinese village breaks and the refinery is shut down, guess what happens?  You got it – INSTANT (but temporary) SHORTAGE!  Higher Prices!  It doesn’t cost the other oil company(s) any more to produce the fuel, but we’re sure gonna pay more for it.  Those darn carrier pigeons are expensive.

 Now, let’s look at the reported increase in refining costs to produce a cleaner-burning fuel.  OK, I grant that initially the production costs would go up.  Certain chemical additives are being slowly banned by environmental legislation (and YES, I support those changes).  Refineries would have to change a portion of the refining process for some of their products.  Original estimates pegged the cost per gallon of gasoline for the environmental changes at 2-3 cents per gallon.  A small price to pay for cleaner air.

 Well guess what, ladies and gentlemen?  The oil tycoons** realized that they could use the environmental spin to get more buck for our bang (internal combustion, that is) and reduce supply at the same time.  Rather than upgrade some of their facilities, they just closed them.  Said it was not financially feasible to upgrade the process to handle the ethanol additive instead of the chemicals.  Never mind the fact they were already going to raise the price of their product to pay for the upgrades.  Let’s just raise the price and upgrade half of our facilities!  Close the rest.  Some companies have even gone so far as to declare “open season” on refineries that had closed but were preparing to reopen.  Stop the competition and added supply at any cost.  Capitalism at its finest.

 **Hey, Mr. President, – we’re gonna give ourselves a multi-million dollar bonus for thinking of this grand scheme.  Might we convince you to accept a campaign donation from us?  Oh by the way, we want to drill in the unspoiled Alaskan wilderness – I think it’s in a national park up there.  That won’t be a problem, will it?  No?  Why, thank you, Dubya.  That’s mighty neighborly of ya.

Now the oil and refinery companies are going for the big score.  They are looking to repeal the environmental regulations mandating cleaner-burning fuel oils.  According to a recent news article, “America's oil companies tried to pull off a financial triple play – boosting profits by reducing refinery capacity, tagging consumers with higher pump prices and then arguing for environmental rollbacks."  (http://www.commondreams.org/headlines01/0615-02.htm) 

If the oil companies get the environmental regulations repealed, we will suffer in two ways:  1.  Air quality will deteriorate at a faster rate than it already is; 2.  We’ll still be paying higher prices at the pump.  After all, they have already upgraded their refineries, haven’t they?  We’ll be seeing the depreciation write-offs on their corporate tax returns for the next 20 years.

All this on top of the fact that we are already paying for their environmental negligence.  When their drunken tanker captain runs aground and spill millions of gallons of raw crude, who do you think picks up the bill?  Exxon?  Texaco?  Nope.  Try again.  YOU.  ME.  We’re paying for their carelessness and greed.  They may say they just spent 15 gazillion dollars to clean up their “accident” and pick up the dead wildlife, but the truth is, they’ve just charged us an extra 20 gazillion dollars in higher pump prices (hey, they’ve still gotta have their performance bonuses).

Well, the only real question left is:  “What can we do about it?”  There are four really simple answers 

1.      Write your congressman/woman and express your concern for the escalating fuel prices and the apparent unethical conduct of the oil companies.  Be sure to mention that you are a registered voter willing and able to make campaign contributions.  (Hey, that’s no less ethical than the lobbying, PAC contributions, and “soft money” donations he/she is already guilty of receiving.  So what if you may never give them a dime.  They still need your vote to get elected.)

2.      Boycott the big oil producers:  Texaco, Chevron, ExxonMobil, and the like.  They pretty much dictate the playing field that the little regional producers must play on.  They also push the envelope of monopoly in some areas of the country.

3.      Support the low-price retail distributors.  Avoid buying gas in affluent parts of town (usually about 5 to 10 cents a gallon higher there).  Sam’s Club is about 15 cents a gallon cheaper than the next closest competitor.  Conoco is usually one of the lower price fuel vendors.  Shop around, baby.  Get the best deal.  There are a few internet sites dedicated to monitoring regional fuel prices.  Do a search!

4.      Sell your SUV.  OK – that’s asking too much sacrifice, I know.

Just think about it will you?  And I’m begging someone to prove me wrong.  I want to believe – That our country is better than this - That our leaders and lawmakers aren’t blind or corrupt enough to allow this type of behavior – That our captains of industry haven’t let greed and corruption overcome the true ideals of a capitalistic society.  Unfortunately, I wake up and read the news about the WorldCom’s, Enron’s, and Martha’s.  Maybe it’s all a dream and I’ll wake up and it will be yesterday – when I remember gas was 50 cents a gallon.  Hey – it could happen.  Everybody has a dream . . .

 And thus ends my first rant.  I’ve got more coming, though.  Stay tuned . . .

Kevin Bennett 3/31/2004

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